La Sonde

La Sonde › Gabriel Attal polls FR · EN · DE · ES · IT

Renaissance

Gabriel Attal pollsFrench presidential election 2027

Gabriel Attal (Renaissance) stands at 7.2% of first-round voting intentions in La Sonde's poll average: 6th of 14 candidates tracked. Over 30 days, the average has moved by −3.0 pt. Swing detector verdict: clearly falling (−1.9 pt over 14 days, 94% certainty). Gabriel Attal appears in 61% of the line-ups tested by pollsters over 45 days.

Average7.2%± 1.8 pt
Rank6thof 14
14-day trend▼ −1.9clearly falling
Qualification6.1%for the run-off (model)
Share this page Bluesky X WhatsApp LinkedIn

Six months of polls

Line: average adjusted for pollster effects. Band: uncertainty. Dots: each published poll.

05101520NovDecJanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSeptOct

Dashed: period with too few polls (fewer than 3 in six weeks) or too wide a margin for a reliable average.

In the run-off

Average of polls testing each match-up. The centre line marks 50%.

Attal vs Le Pen · 14 polls, latest 18 Oct 26
43.3%56.7%

If they withdrew

According to 19 polls testing line-ups with and without Gabriel Attal, their voters would go to:

Philippe58%
Retailleau15%
Glucksmann8%
Mélenchon4%
Tondelier3%
Bardella3%

Simulate a withdrawal →

Campaign

  • 22 May 2026 · Gabriel Attal announces candidacy

Latest polls

PollsterFieldwork endScoreLine-ups
OpinionWay
CNews
22 Oct 264.0%1
Harris Interactive
M6, RTL
21 Oct 265.0–11.0%3
IFOP
LCI, Le Figaro, Sud Radio
19 Oct 264.0–13.0%6
ELABE
BFMTV, La Tribune Dimanche
16 Oct 264.5–10.5%3
YouGov
Le HuffPost
15 Oct 266.0–10.0%3
Cluster17
Le Point
15 Oct 2617.0%1
OpinionWay
CNews
14 Oct 265.0%1
Harris Interactive
M6, RTL
8 Oct 265.0–12.0%3
ODOXA
Backbone, Public Sénat, La Presse Régionale, Le Nouvel Obs
7 Oct 2611.0%1
IFOP
LCI, Le Figaro, Sud Radio
29 Sept 267.0–17.0%4

A single poll often tests several candidate line-ups: the score depends on the line-up, hence the ranges.

Pollster effects

Usual gap of each pollster for Gabriel Attal compared with the average, over 8 months. Positive: the pollster measures them higher than others.

IFOP+1.0
Harris Interactive+0.8
ODOXA+0.8
ELABE+0.1
Cluster17+0.1
YouGov−0.2
Ipsos BVA−0.3
OpinionWay−1.1
Verian−1.2

Other candidates

See the full race →

Data as of 22 October 2026 (latest fieldwork included). Updated automatically. These figures are an average of published polls, not a poll. Method. Poll notices: French Polling Commission.